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NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

LIGHTNINGTB

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4
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
0%
📊
LIGHTNING
100%
PREDATORS --
LIGHTNING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Nashville)
PredatorsNSH (-3.5) 0 LightningTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Predators Cover

55.6%

Lightning Cover

44.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NSH -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

NSH By 1 goal

18.5%

NSH By 2-3 goals

21.7%

TB By 1 goal

16.2%

TB By 2-3 goals

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.92
NASHVILLE
2.64
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
2
NASHVILLE
3
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Predators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lightning Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Predators (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim Lightning (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 NSH @ TB 2 - 3
Oct 28, 2025 TB @ NSH 5 - 2
Sep 27, 2025 NSH @ TB 1 - 4
Sep 23, 2025 TB @ NSH 3 - 2
Nov 29, 2024 TB @ NSH 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.6% more
Nashville: 29.9 vs Tampa Bay: 24.4
Takeaways (L5) +18.0% more
Nashville: 2.2 vs Tampa Bay: 1.8
Power Play % (L5) +12.3%
Nashville: 28.1% vs Tampa Bay: 15.8%
Hits (L5) +11.1% more
Tampa Bay: 26.8 vs Nashville: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NSH Score 2.9 1
TB Score 2.6 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
NSH
TB
NSH
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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