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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

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0
FINAL
Sun, Sep 28 • 3:00 PM ET
Centre Videotron
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OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

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2
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
SENATORS
0%
DEVILS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Ottawa)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

45.8%

Senators Cover

54.2%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

NJ By 1 goal

16.5%

NJ By 2-3 goals

16.4%

OTT By 1 goal

18.3%

OTT By 2-3 goals

20.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.67
NEW JERSEY
2.88
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
4
NEW JERSEY
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Senators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Senators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Devils (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 OTT @ NJ 3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026 NJ @ OTT 1 - 4
Dec 9, 2025 NJ @ OTT 4 - 3
Sep 28, 2025 NJ @ OTT 0 - 2
Mar 22, 2025 OTT @ NJ 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +132.3% more
Ottawa: 3.0 vs New Jersey: 1.3
Power Play % (L5) +9.2%
Ottawa: 15.1% vs New Jersey: 5.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +32.4% more
New Jersey: 20.9 vs Ottawa: 14.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.4% more
New Jersey: 29.7 vs Ottawa: 23.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 2.7 0
OTT Score 2.9 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NJ
OTT
NJ
ML
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
0% 0-2-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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