SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-0-0 | Road
2
ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
0-0-0 | Home
3
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
DUCKS
0%
SHARKS
--
DUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
SJ By 1 goal
13.5%
SJ By 2-3 goals
11.2%
ANA By 1 goal
19.6%
ANA By 2-3 goals
27.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
1.23
SAN JOSE
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Ducks (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
SJ @ ANA
1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026
ANA @ SJ
3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
SJ @ ANA
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
ANA @ SJ
7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025
ANA @ SJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.9% more
Anaheim: 27.6
vs
San Jose: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+63.0% more
San Jose: 3.4
vs
Anaheim: 1.3
Hits (L5)
+56.2% more
San Jose: 23.3
vs
Anaheim: 10.2
Power Play % (L5)
+8.6%
San Jose: 9.2%
vs
Anaheim: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
1.2
2
ANA Score
2.0
3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
SJ
ANA
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
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