AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
SHARKS
100%
DUCKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
19.5%
ANA By 2-3 goals
25.9%
SJ By 1 goal
14.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
1.72
ANAHEIM
San Jose
1.06
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ducks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ducks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 2.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
SJ @ ANA
1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026
ANA @ SJ
3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025
SJ @ ANA
5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
ANA @ SJ
7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025
ANA @ SJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.9% more
Anaheim: 27.6
vs
San Jose: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+122.0% more
San Jose: 2.6
vs
Anaheim: 1.2
Hits (L5)
+63.9% more
San Jose: 27.6
vs
Anaheim: 16.8
Power Play % (L5)
+8.6%
San Jose: 9.2%
vs
Anaheim: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
1.7
5
SJ Score
1.1
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
ANA
SJ
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3