AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
0%
RANGERS
100%
DEVILS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.8%
NYR By 1 goal
12.0%
NYR By 2-3 goals
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
3.39
NEW JERSEY
New York
2.37
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Devils (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
NJ @ NYR
1 - 4
Mar 18, 2026
NJ @ NYR
6 - 3
Mar 7, 2026
NYR @ NJ
3 - 6
Oct 2, 2025
NJ @ NYR
3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025
NYR @ NJ
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+35.4% more
New Jersey: 20.9
vs
New York: 13.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.7% more
New Jersey: 29.7
vs
New York: 26.8
Takeaways (L5)
+83.0% more
New York: 1.7
vs
New Jersey: 0.9
Power Play % (L5)
+13.0%
New York: 18.9%
vs
New Jersey: 5.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
3.4
3
NYR Score
2.4
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NJ
NYR
NJ
ML
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
0%
0-3
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-2-1
60%
3-2
50%
1-1-1