PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
14-9-9 | Road
0
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
15-13-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 4.01 | 0.846 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.01
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.846
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
SENATORS
0%
PENGUINS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
PIT @ OTT
4 - 3
Feb 2, 2026
OTT @ PIT
3 - 2
Dec 18, 2025
PIT @ OTT
0 - 4
Mar 30, 2025
OTT @ PIT
0 - 1
Jan 11, 2025
OTT @ PIT
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+27.9% more
Ottawa: 26.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 21.0
Takeaways (L5)
+16.9% more
Ottawa: 5.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 4.9
Power Play % (L5)
+11.8%
Ottawa: 32.8%
vs
Pittsburgh: 21.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.6%
Ottawa: 51.6%
vs
Pittsburgh: 47.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.0
0
OTT Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 14.3
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 47.0
55.1 / 44.9
Hits
26.9 / 21.0
18.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
32.8 / 21.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 30.6
26.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 4.9
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
PIT
OTT
PIT
ML
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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