AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
BULLS
0%
RATTLERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (South Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)
FAMU By 1-7 points
2.2%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.4%
USF By 1-7 points
9.3%
USF By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
36
FLORIDA A&M
South Florida
55
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
61
FLORIDA A&M
South Florida
78
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+26.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
FAMU @ USF
67 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+119.1% more
South Florida: 9.3
vs
Florida A&M: 4.2
Blocks (L5)
+26.9% more
South Florida: 3.9
vs
Florida A&M: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+17.8% more
South Florida: 36.5
vs
Florida A&M: 31.0
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Florida A&M: 14.4
vs
South Florida: 11.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
36.0
67
USF Score
55.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 32.6
36.0 / 22.0
Assists
11.5 / 14.4
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
39.2 / 45.3
47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 72.0
85.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 31.0
46.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.3 / 4.2
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 9.3
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
USF
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
USF
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
FAMU
USF
FAMU
ML
61%
20-13
55%
16-13
52%
16-15
71%
17-7
ATS
61%
20-13
48%
14-15
52%
16-15
71%
17-7
TTL
52%
17-16
76%
22-7
100%
31-0
100%
24-0