YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
0-0 | Road
97
NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
1-0 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
BULLDOGS
--
MIDSHIPMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NAVY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
YALE By 1-7 points
21.6%
YALE By 8-14 points
10.7%
NAVY By 1-7 points
27.2%
NAVY By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
55
YALE
Navy
58
NAVY
Simulated Score
Yale
68
YALE
Navy
75
NAVY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Midshipmen
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Midshipmen (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Midshipmen (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
YALE @ NAVY
97 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+58.5% more
Navy: 8.4
vs
Yale: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+9.1% more
Navy: 2.3
vs
Yale: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.5%
Navy: 74.5%
vs
Yale: 68.0%
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
Yale: 14.4
vs
Navy: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
55.0
97
NAVY Score
58.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 38.7
21.0 / 46.0
Assists
12.5 / 14.4
12.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.1
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 47.0
44.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 68.0
75.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 31.7
29.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.3
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 8.8
19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
NAVY
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAVY
YALE
NAVY
YALE
ML
79%
26-7
48%
15-16
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
ATS
73%
24-9
65%
20-11
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
TTL
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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