AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
BUFFALOES
0%
EAGLES
--
BUFFALOES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)
EWU By 1-7 points
5.8%
EWU By 8-14 points
1.4%
COLO By 1-7 points
16.9%
COLO By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
35
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Colorado
49
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
68
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Colorado
82
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Buffaloes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Buffaloes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Buffaloes (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Buffaloes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
EWU @ COLO
97 - 102
Nov 4, 2024
EWU @ COLO
56 - 76
Dec 8, 2021
EWU @ COLO
57 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.8% more
Colorado: 2.8
vs
Eastern Washington: 2.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
Colorado: 34.1
vs
Eastern Washington: 28.4
Steals (L5)
+10.3% more
Colorado: 6.7
vs
Eastern Washington: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+12.8% more
Eastern Washington: 13.3
vs
Colorado: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
35.0
97
COLO Score
49.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 30.4
48.0 / 56.0
Assists
14.5 / 14.6
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 45.0
51.0 / 60.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 71.2
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 28.4
34.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.0
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.3
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
EWU
COLO
EWU
ML
61%
20-13
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
69%
22-10
ATS
73%
24-9
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
69%
22-10
TTL
45%
15-18
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0