Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Delta Devils UTU @ MVSU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

1-3  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 9:30 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

DELTA DEVILSMVSU

2-3  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
100%
📊
DELTA DEVILS
0%
TRAILBLAZERS --
DELTA DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
84.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Mississippi Valley State)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 Delta DevilsMVSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

8.1%

Delta Devils Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MVSU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MVSU)

UTU By 1-7 points

5.8%

UTU By 8-14 points

1.4%

MVSU By 1-7 points

16.9%

MVSU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
35
UTAH TECH
49
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Simulated Score
58
UTAH TECH
79
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Delta Devils Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Delta Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Delta Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Delta Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 84.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 UTU @ MVSU 81 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.2% more
Mississippi Valley State: 15.7 vs Utah Tech: 11.9
Blocks (L5) +31.0% more
Mississippi Valley State: 3.1 vs Utah Tech: 2.4
Steals (L5) +14.7% more
Mississippi Valley State: 7.6 vs Utah Tech: 6.7
Free Throw % (L5) +11.5%
Mississippi Valley State: 76.5% vs Utah Tech: 65.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 35.0 81
MVSU Score 49.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 30.3 25.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.7 / 11.0 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.4 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 37.0 / 42.0 45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 65.0 82.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 37.0 35.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 11.9 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
MVSU
3-30-0 (9.1%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
MVSU
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -18.8 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
MVSU
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MVSU
UTU
MVSU
UTU
ML
91% 30-3
68% 23-11
75% 18-6
62% 21-13
ATS
82% 27-6
65% 22-12
75% 18-6
62% 21-13
TTL
58% 19-14
65% 22-12
100% 24-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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