Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dragons @ Orange DREX @ SYR

DREXEL

DRAGONSDREX

2-0  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:30 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

1-2  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
100%
📊
ORANGE
0%
DRAGONS --
ORANGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SYRACUSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Syracuse)
DragonsDREX (-3.5) 0 OrangeSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dragons Cover

9.7%

Orange Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SYR -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SYR)

DREX By 1-7 points

6.8%

DREX By 8-14 points

1.7%

SYR By 1-7 points

18.6%

SYR By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
DREXEL
79
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
67
DREXEL
78
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Orange Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orange Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Orange (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Orange (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.0 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u143.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 DREX @ SYR 50 - 80
Nov 14, 2021 DREX @ SYR 60 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +81.6% more
Syracuse: 6.2 vs Drexel: 3.4
Steals (L5) +15.4% more
Syracuse: 8.3 vs Drexel: 7.2
Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Syracuse: 50.9% vs Drexel: 44.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Syracuse: 63.8% vs Drexel: 61.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DREX Score 66.0 50
SYR Score 79.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 37.9 37.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.4 / 16.5 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 6.2 / 3.4 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 44.3 49.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 63.8 / 61.4 73.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 37.3 36.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.2 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.7 7.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX Advantage
18-13-1 (58.1%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +0.3
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -2.8
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
DREX
SYR
DREX
ML
78% 25-7
58% 19-14
69% 22-10
81% 26-6
ATS
69% 22-10
70% 23-10
69% 22-10
81% 26-6
TTL
66% 21-11
48% 16-17
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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