BYU
COUGARSBYU
3-0 | Road
84
UCONN
HUSKIESCONN
3-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
COUGARS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (UConn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CONN -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)
BYU By 1-7 points
0.0%
BYU By 8-14 points
0.0%
CONN By 1-7 points
0.5%
CONN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
BYU
43
BYU
UConn
76
UCONN
Simulated Score
BYU
73
BYU
UConn
79
UCONN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
BYU @ CONN
84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.5% more
UConn: 6.0
vs
BYU: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+32.9% more
UConn: 9.1
vs
BYU: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
UConn: 19.0
vs
BYU: 15.9
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
UConn: 8.8
vs
BYU: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BYU Score
43.0
84
CONN Score
76.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 32.7
44.0 / 31.0
Assists
19.0 / 15.9
21.0 / 7.0
Blocks
6.0 / 3.6
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
52.6 / 48.4
57.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 81.3
67.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 41.0
27.0 / 28.0
Steals
9.1 / 6.8
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 7.7
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
CONN
Advantage
34-6-0
(85.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
CONN
18-22-0
(45.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5%
Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CONN
BYU
CONN
BYU
ML
76%
29-9
60%
21-14
66%
23-12
72%
23-9
ATS
74%
28-10
54%
19-16
66%
23-12
72%
23-9
TTL
50%
19-19
69%
24-11
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
UConn Men's Basketball 2026-27 TV Schedule Revealed: Up to Seven…
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career