Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Pirates HC @ HAMP

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

2-2  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Nov 16 • 1:00 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

0-3  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
CRUSADERS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Hampton)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

30.9%

Pirates Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAMP -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

HC By 1-7 points

18.6%

HC By 8-14 points

8.0%

HAMP By 1-7 points

27.2%

HAMP By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
52
HOLY CROSS
57
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
68
HOLY CROSS
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 16, 2025 HC @ HAMP 67 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +136.1% more
Hampton: 3.9 vs Holy Cross: 1.7
Steals (L5) +117.1% more
Hampton: 9.3 vs Holy Cross: 4.3
Rebounding (L5) +20.4% more
Hampton: 37.9 vs Holy Cross: 31.5
Assists (L5) +17.4% more
Hampton: 13.3 vs Holy Cross: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 52.0 67
HAMP Score 57.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.8 / 32.5 25.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.3 / 11.4 8.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.9 / 1.7 4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 42.3 37.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 56.4 94.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 31.5 32.0 / 24.0
Steals 9.3 / 4.3 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.9 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
HAMP Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
HC
HAMP
HC
ML
53% 17-15
52% 16-15
75% 24-8
61% 19-12
ATS
50% 16-16
55% 17-14
75% 24-8
64% 21-12
TTL
68% 21-10-1
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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