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KANSAS STATE

WILDCATSKSU

12-20  |  Road

85
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 9:30 PM ET
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NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

28-7  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
CORNHUSKERS
0%
WILDCATS --
CORNHUSKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Nebraska)
WildcatsKSU (-3.5) 0 CornhuskersNEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

2.9%

Cornhuskers Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)

KSU By 1-7 points

2.2%

KSU By 8-14 points

0.4%

NEB By 1-7 points

9.3%

NEB By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
36
KANSAS STATE
55
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
68
KANSAS STATE
72
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cornhuskers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cornhuskers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cornhuskers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Cornhuskers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 KSU @ NEB 85 - 86
Dec 17, 2023 NEB @ KSU 62 - 46
Dec 17, 2022 NEB @ KSU 56 - 71
Dec 19, 2021 KSU @ NEB 67 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
Nebraska: 6.8 vs Kansas State: 6.0
Blocks (L5) +59.6% more
Kansas State: 3.6 vs Nebraska: 1.4
Free Throw % (L5) +9.1%
Kansas State: 81.6% vs Nebraska: 72.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Kansas State: 51.1% vs Nebraska: 49.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KSU Score 36.0 85
NEB Score 55.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.1 / 40.2 25.0 / 34.0
Assists 19.6 / 19.9 16.0 / 19.0
Blocks 1.4 / 3.6 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 51.1 54.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 72.6 / 81.6 60.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 36.1 32.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.0 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 11.7 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -2.9
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +0.1
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
KSU
NEB
KSU
ML
51% 18-17
59% 19-13
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
ATS
54% 19-16
62% 20-12
62% 21-13
69% 22-10
TTL
63% 22-13
47% 15-17
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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