Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Red Raiders @ Boilermakers TTU @ PUR

TEXAS TECH

RED RAIDERSTTU

23-11  |  Road

56
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 9:30 PM ET
Baha Mar Convention Center
View Odds Details →

PURDUE

BOILERMAKERSPUR

5-0  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
RED RAIDERS
100%
📊
BOILERMAKERS
0%
RED RAIDERS --
BOILERMAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
PURDUE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Purdue)
Red RaidersTTU (-3.5) 0 BoilermakersPUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Raiders Cover

0.0%

Boilermakers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PUR -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PUR)

TTU By 1-7 points

0.0%

TTU By 8-14 points

0.0%

PUR By 1-7 points

0.1%

PUR By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
78
TEXAS TECH
118
PURDUE
Simulated Score
67
TEXAS TECH
74
PURDUE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Boilermakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Boilermakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Boilermakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 196.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 TTU @ PUR 56 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +12.4% more
Purdue: 3.5 vs Texas Tech: 3.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Purdue: 38.6% vs Texas Tech: 35.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Purdue: 47.3% vs Texas Tech: 44.4%
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
Texas Tech: 7.2 vs Purdue: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TTU Score 78.0 56
PUR Score 118.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 35.4 57.0 / 24.0
Assists 19.2 / 18.3 19.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 44.4 59.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 77.0 67.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 41.0 / 40.2 43.0 / 25.0
Steals 5.3 / 7.2 1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.0 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TTU
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
PUR Advantage
30-9-0 (76.9%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TTU Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
PUR
17-22-0 (43.6%)
Margin: 11.1 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9% Total +/-: -1.6
PUR
21-18-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PUR
TTU
PUR
TTU
ML
67% 26-13
62% 21-13
66% 25-13
71% 22-9
ATS
64% 25-14
65% 22-12
66% 25-13
71% 22-9
TTL
51% 20-19
59% 20-14
100% 38-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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