Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Minutemen GB @ MASS

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

18-15  |  Road

79
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 3:00 PM ET
UVI Sports & Fitness Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

17-16  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
PHOENIX --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Massachusetts)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

30.9%

Minutemen Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

GB By 1-7 points

18.6%

GB By 8-14 points

8.0%

MASS By 1-7 points

27.2%

MASS By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
62
GREEN BAY
67
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
71
GREEN BAY
75
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 GB @ MASS 79 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +82.1% more
Massachusetts: 6.0 vs Green Bay: 3.3
Turnovers (L5) +36.7% more
Massachusetts: 14.7 vs Green Bay: 10.8
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Massachusetts: 17.2 vs Green Bay: 14.5
Rebounding (L5) +11.4% more
Massachusetts: 38.1 vs Green Bay: 34.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 62.0 79
MASS Score 67.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 28.2 27.0 / 23.0
Assists 17.2 / 14.5 13.0 / 7.0
Blocks 1.1 / 3.6 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 42.3 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 57.6 / 64.1 85.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 34.3 30.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.0 / 3.3 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.7 / 10.8 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
GB
MASS
GB
ML
44% 14-18
48% 16-17
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
ATS
47% 15-17
52% 17-16
68% 21-10
67% 22-11
TTL
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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