PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
19-18 | Road
85
NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
7-25 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
OSPREYS
0%
PANTHERS
--
OSPREYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NORTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (North Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNF -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNF)
PV By 1-7 points
16.9%
PV By 8-14 points
6.8%
UNF By 1-7 points
26.8%
UNF By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Prairie View A&M
81
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
North Florida
87
NORTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Prairie View A&M
72
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
North Florida
77
NORTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ospreys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ospreys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ospreys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Ospreys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 23, 2025
PV @ UNF
85 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+84.6% more
North Florida: 17.9
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.7
Turnovers (L5)
+19.1% more
North Florida: 13.7
vs
Prairie View A&M: 11.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
North Florida: 40.7%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 29.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
North Florida: 49.5%
vs
Prairie View A&M: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PV Score
81.0
85
UNF Score
87.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.7 / 29.8
46.0 / 26.0
Assists
17.9 / 9.7
16.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.7 / 3.8
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 39.0
55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 74.8
73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
28.3 / 31.7
35.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.3
3.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 11.5
21.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
UNF
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNF
PV
UNF
PV
ML
69%
22-10
59%
20-14
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
ATS
69%
22-10
56%
19-15
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
TTL
66%
21-11
50%
17-17
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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