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UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

22-11  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 5:30 PM ET
Pensacola Bay Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

19-16  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
100%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
SKYHAWKS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
SOUTHERN MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Southern Miss)
SkyhawksUTM (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesUSM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Skyhawks Cover

0.8%

Golden Eagles Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USM -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USM)

UTM By 1-7 points

0.6%

UTM By 8-14 points

0.1%

USM By 1-7 points

4.0%

USM By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
47
UT MARTIN
71
SOUTHERN MISS
Simulated Score
70
UT MARTIN
75
SOUTHERN MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 UTM @ USM 60 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +11.8% more
Southern Miss: 8.8 vs UT Martin: 7.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Southern Miss: 50.0% vs UT Martin: 47.5%
Turnovers (L5) +37.3% more
UT Martin: 18.5 vs Southern Miss: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
UT Martin: 33.4% vs Southern Miss: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTM Score 47.0 60
USM Score 71.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 33.4 38.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.9 / 16.2 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.9 / 4.2 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 47.5 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 70.4 53.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 39.5 34.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.8 / 7.9 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 18.5 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
USM
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
USM
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USM
UTM
USM
UTM
ML
53% 18-16
69% 22-10
73% 24-9
69% 20-9
ATS
59% 20-14
56% 18-14
74% 25-9
69% 20-9
TTL
68% 23-11
44% 14-18
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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