YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
24-7 | Road
97
AKRON
ZIPSAKR
29-6 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
ZIPS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
ZIPS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
AKRON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Akron)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AKR -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AKR)
YALE By 1-7 points
0.5%
YALE By 8-14 points
0.1%
AKR By 1-7 points
3.3%
AKR By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
61
YALE
Akron
86
AKRON
Simulated Score
Yale
67
YALE
Akron
71
AKRON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Zips
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Zips
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Zips (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Zips (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
YALE @ AKR
97 - 94
Dec 20, 2024
AKR @ YALE
58 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+63.3% more
Akron: 8.5
vs
Yale: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+36.5% more
Akron: 19.9
vs
Yale: 14.6
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Akron: 36.3
vs
Yale: 32.8
Turnovers (L5)
+9.3% more
Akron: 10.6
vs
Yale: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
61.0
97
AKR Score
86.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 43.3
52.0 / 47.0
Assists
19.9 / 14.6
17.0 / 21.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 49.1
62.0 / 64.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 72.7
67.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 32.8
19.0 / 22.0
Steals
8.5 / 5.2
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 9.7
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
AKR
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
AKR
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 13.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
AKR
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AKR
YALE
AKR
YALE
ML
71%
24-10
48%
15-16
65%
22-12
58%
18-13
ATS
76%
26-8
65%
20-11
65%
22-12
58%
18-13
TTL
59%
20-14
61%
19-12
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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