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STONY BROOK

SEAWOLVESSTBK

17-15  |  Road

61
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 11:00 AM ET
Ocean Center
View Odds Details →

BETHUNE-COOKMAN

WILDCATSBCU

17-15  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
SEAWOLVES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Bethune-Cookman)
SeawolvesSTBK (-3.5) 0 WildcatsBCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seawolves Cover

0.0%

Wildcats Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BCU -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BCU)

STBK By 1-7 points

0.0%

STBK By 8-14 points

0.0%

BCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

BCU By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
50
STONY BROOK
93
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Simulated Score
73
STONY BROOK
68
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seawolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim Seawolves (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 STBK @ BCU 61 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.2% more
Bethune-Cookman: 34.1 vs Stony Brook: 29.6
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Bethune-Cookman: 47.6% vs Stony Brook: 43.3%
Steals (L5) +21.9% more
Stony Brook: 8.5 vs Bethune-Cookman: 6.6
Free Throw % (L5) +18.1%
Stony Brook: 75.7% vs Bethune-Cookman: 57.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STBK Score 50.0 61
BCU Score 93.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 36.3 17.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.5 / 12.9 7.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 43.3 30.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 57.6 / 75.7 62.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 29.6 45.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.6 / 8.5 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 10.8 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
BCU
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
BCU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BCU
STBK
BCU
STBK
ML
68% 21-10
61% 19-12
79% 22-6
71% 22-9
ATS
65% 20-11
61% 19-12
79% 22-6
71% 22-9
TTL
48% 15-16
65% 20-11
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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