Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Catamounts URI @ UVM

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

16-16  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 2:30 PM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

VERMONT

CATAMOUNTSUVM

22-12  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
CATAMOUNTS
0%
RAMS --
CATAMOUNTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Vermont)
RamsURI (-3.5) 0 CatamountsUVM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

27.4%

Catamounts Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)

URI By 1-7 points

16.9%

URI By 8-14 points

6.8%

UVM By 1-7 points

26.8%

UVM By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
61
RHODE ISLAND
67
VERMONT
Simulated Score
68
RHODE ISLAND
72
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Catamounts Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Catamounts Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Catamounts (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Catamounts (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 URI @ UVM 80 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +56.5% more
Vermont: 15.7 vs Rhode Island: 10.0
Blocks (L5) +15.6% more
Vermont: 3.0 vs Rhode Island: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.7%
Vermont: 40.5% vs Rhode Island: 26.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.8%
Vermont: 50.3% vs Rhode Island: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
URI Score 61.0 80
UVM Score 67.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 26.8 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.7 / 10.0 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 45.5 42.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 73.4 70.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 33.0 25.0 / 39.0
Steals 4.4 / 9.4 5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 12.6 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
UVM Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
UVM Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
URI
UVM
URI
ML
56% 19-15
62% 20-12
65% 22-12
59% 19-13
ATS
62% 21-13
56% 18-14
65% 22-12
59% 19-13
TTL
47% 16-18
56% 18-14
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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