Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Bobcats LMU @ OHIO

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT

LIONSLMU

15-17  |  Road

70
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 5:00 PM ET
Ocean Center
View Odds Details →

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

15-17  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
BOBCATS
0%
LIONS --
BOBCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Ohio)
LionsLMU (-3.5) 0 BobcatsOHIO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

1.1%

Bobcats Cover

98.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)

LMU By 1-7 points

0.8%

LMU By 8-14 points

0.1%

OHIO By 1-7 points

4.8%

OHIO By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
40
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
63
OHIO
Simulated Score
68
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
71
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bobcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bobcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bobcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Bobcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 LMU @ OHIO 70 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Ohio: 70.0% vs Loyola Marymount: 64.7%
Blocks (L5) +35.9% more
Loyola Marymount: 3.7 vs Ohio: 2.4
Steals (L5) +28.5% more
Loyola Marymount: 5.8 vs Ohio: 4.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.8%
Loyola Marymount: 40.8% vs Ohio: 26.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LMU Score 40.0 70
OHIO Score 63.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.0 / 40.8 28.0 / 23.0
Assists 11.5 / 13.1 6.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.4 / 3.7 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 45.9 31.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 64.7 59.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 35.0 38.0 / 47.0
Steals 4.1 / 5.8 12.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.8 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
OHIO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -1.4
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
LMU
OHIO
LMU
ML
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
63% 19-11
50% 16-16
ATS
68% 21-10
47% 15-17
63% 19-11
50% 16-16
TTL
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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