Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Orange @ Cyclones SYR @ ISU

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

15-17  |  Road

64
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 1:00 PM ET
MGM Grand Garden Arena
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

29-8  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
ORANGE --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Iowa State)
OrangeSYR (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orange Cover

0.8%

Cyclones Cover

99.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

SYR By 1-7 points

0.6%

SYR By 8-14 points

0.1%

ISU By 1-7 points

4.0%

ISU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
61
SYRACUSE
85
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
68
SYRACUSE
72
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 SYR @ ISU 64 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +37.9% more
Iowa State: 9.4 vs Syracuse: 6.8
Assists (L5) +19.5% more
Iowa State: 15.7 vs Syracuse: 13.2
Free Throw % (L5) +12.7%
Iowa State: 69.2% vs Syracuse: 56.5%
Turnovers (L5) +12.3% more
Iowa State: 9.4 vs Syracuse: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 61.0 64
ISU Score 85.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 29.2 45.0 / 29.0
Assists 15.7 / 13.2 18.0 / 15.0
Blocks 3.2 / 5.0 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 42.5 59.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 56.5 67.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.2 / 35.4 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.4 / 6.8 13.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 8.4 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
SYR
ISU
SYR
ML
57% 21-16
78% 25-7
76% 26-8
69% 22-10
ATS
62% 23-14
69% 22-10
76% 26-8
69% 22-10
TTL
54% 20-17
66% 21-11
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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