AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
RAMBLERS
0%
SPARTANS
--
RAMBLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LUC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
SJSU By 1-7 points
21.6%
SJSU By 8-14 points
10.7%
LUC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LUC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San José State
65
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Loyola Chicago
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Simulated Score
San José State
68
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ramblers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Ramblers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
SJSU @ LUC
63 - 51
Mar 19, 2025
LUC @ SJSU
73 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+100.9% more
Loyola Chicago: 4.3
vs
San José State: 2.2
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Loyola Chicago: 12.4
vs
San José State: 11.3
Steals (L5)
+41.1% more
San José State: 5.3
vs
Loyola Chicago: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
San José State: 43.6%
vs
Loyola Chicago: 38.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJSU Score
65.0
63
LUC Score
68.0
51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 37.8
39.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.3
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.2
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 43.6
47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 69.6
60.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 36.1
29.0 / 26.0
Steals
3.1 / 5.3
1.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 12.7
21.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SJSU
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -6.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SJSU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4%
Total +/-: +5.3
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LUC
SJSU
LUC
SJSU
ML
55%
18-15
73%
24-9
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
ATS
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
TTL
76%
25-8
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
32-0