Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Golden Hurricane UNI @ TLSA

NORTHERN IOWA

PANTHERSUNI

23-13  |  Road

60
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 4:30 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

TULSA

GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA

30-8  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
GOLDEN HURRICANE
0%
PANTHERS --
GOLDEN HURRICANE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TULSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Tulsa)
PanthersUNI (-3.5) 0 Golden HurricaneTLSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

11.5%

Golden Hurricane Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TLSA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TLSA)

UNI By 1-7 points

8.0%

UNI By 8-14 points

2.2%

TLSA By 1-7 points

20.1%

TLSA By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
56
NORTHERN IOWA
68
TULSA
Simulated Score
68
NORTHERN IOWA
72
TULSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Hurricane Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Hurricane Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Hurricane (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Golden Hurricane (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 UNI @ TLSA 60 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.5% more
Tulsa: 10.4 vs Northern Iowa: 7.8
Assists (L5) +11.5% more
Tulsa: 18.2 vs Northern Iowa: 16.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.1%
Tulsa: 79.9% vs Northern Iowa: 68.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Tulsa: 41.7% vs Northern Iowa: 37.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNI Score 56.0 60
TLSA Score 68.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.7 / 37.3 32.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.2 / 16.3 9.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.3 / 4.0 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 45.0 41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 68.8 93.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 33.8 33.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.0 / 7.2 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 7.8 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
23-13-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
TLSA Advantage
30-8-0 (79.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
TLSA
20-15-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TLSA
UNI
TLSA
UNI
ML
66% 25-13
51% 18-17
64% 23-13
56% 19-15
ATS
74% 28-10
49% 17-18
64% 23-13
56% 19-15
TTL
58% 22-16
69% 24-11
100% 36-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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