GONZAGA
BULLDOGSGONZ
31-4 | Road
61
MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
37-3 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
WOLVERINES
0%
BULLDOGS
--
WOLVERINES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MICH -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)
GONZ By 1-7 points
0.0%
GONZ By 8-14 points
0.0%
MICH By 1-7 points
0.1%
MICH By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Gonzaga
36
GONZAGA
Michigan
76
MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
Gonzaga
81
GONZAGA
Michigan
73
MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
GONZ @ MICH
61 - 101
Nov 29, 2019
GONZ @ MICH
64 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
Michigan: 5.1
vs
Gonzaga: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+15.6% more
Michigan: 12.6
vs
Gonzaga: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+11.7% more
Michigan: 47.9
vs
Gonzaga: 42.9
Steals (L5)
+28.4% more
Gonzaga: 10.1
vs
Michigan: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GONZ Score
36.0
61
MICH Score
76.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 37.9
48.0 / 14.0
Assists
16.8 / 21.1
29.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.0
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 54.6
60.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 75.1
64.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
47.9 / 42.9
44.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.2 / 10.1
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 10.9
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GONZ
31-4-0
(88.6%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GONZ
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 18.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
MICH
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -5.0
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MICH
GONZ
MICH
GONZ
ML
78%
31-9
71%
25-10
63%
24-14
69%
20-9
ATS
78%
31-9
69%
24-11
63%
24-14
69%
20-9
TTL
57%
23-17
57%
20-15
100%
38-0
100%
29-0
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