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IOWA

HAWKEYESIOWA

24-13  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Nov 26 • 9:30 PM ET
Acrisure Arena
View Odds Details →

GRAND CANYON

LOPESGCU

20-12  |  Home

46
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKEYES
100%
📊
LOPES
0%
HAWKEYES --
LOPES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
GRAND CANYON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Grand Canyon)
HawkeyesIOWA (-3.5) 0 LopesGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawkeyes Cover

0.0%

Lopes Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GCU -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GCU)

IOWA By 1-7 points

0.0%

IOWA By 8-14 points

0.0%

GCU By 1-7 points

0.1%

GCU By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
36
IOWA
76
GRAND CANYON
Simulated Score
77
IOWA
82
GRAND CANYON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lopes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lopes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lopes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Lopes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 IOWA @ GCU 59 - 46
Mar 20, 2021 GCU @ IOWA 74 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +121.2% more
Grand Canyon: 3.5 vs Iowa: 1.6
Turnovers (L5) +22.7% more
Grand Canyon: 10.5 vs Iowa: 8.5
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
Grand Canyon: 36.9 vs Iowa: 31.9
Assists (L5) +27.1% more
Iowa: 16.8 vs Grand Canyon: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score 36.0 59
GCU Score 76.0 46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 20.0 / 38.0 31.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.3 / 16.8 8.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.5 / 1.6 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 52.3 40.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 75.4 78.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 36.9 / 31.9 24.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.6 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 8.5 19.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
GCU
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA Advantage
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 8.3 ATS +/-: +1.1
GCU
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0% Total +/-: +0.6
GCU
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GCU
IOWA
GCU
IOWA
ML
66% 21-11
59% 22-15
68% 21-10
78% 28-8
ATS
72% 23-9
76% 28-9
68% 21-10
78% 28-8
TTL
44% 14-18
57% 21-16
100% 31-0
100% 36-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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