MARYLAND
TERRAPINSMD
12-21 | Road
72
ALABAMA
CRIMSON TIDEALA
25-10 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
100%
CRIMSON TIDE
0%
TERRAPINS
--
CRIMSON TIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-36.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +36.0 points (Alabama)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALA -36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)
MD By 1-7 points
0.0%
MD By 8-14 points
0.0%
ALA By 1-7 points
0.2%
ALA By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
40
MARYLAND
Alabama
76
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
Maryland
76
MARYLAND
Alabama
82
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crimson Tide
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson Tide
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crimson Tide (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -36.0
D
Sim
Crimson Tide (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
MD @ ALA
72 - 105
Mar 18, 2023
MD @ ALA
51 - 73
Mar 22, 2021
MD @ ALA
77 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+81.8% more
Alabama: 4.7
vs
Maryland: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+50.2% more
Alabama: 16.9
vs
Maryland: 11.3
Steals (L5)
+17.2% more
Alabama: 7.2
vs
Maryland: 6.1
Rebounding (L5)
+14.0% more
Alabama: 40.4
vs
Maryland: 35.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
40.0
72
ALA Score
76.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 30.5
45.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.9 / 11.3
29.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.7 / 2.6
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 40.7
58.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 74.8
83.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 35.4
49.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.2 / 6.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 15.9
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
ALA
Advantage
25-10-0
(71.4%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -2.6
ALA
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 8.5
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: -0.8
ALA
17-16-1
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
MD
ALA
MD
ML
63%
22-13
70%
23-10
58%
19-14
67%
22-11
ATS
60%
21-14
64%
21-12
58%
19-14
67%
22-11
TTL
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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