Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rams @ Commodores VCU @ VAN

VCU

RAMSVCU

28-8  |  Road

74
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 12:00 PM ET
Imperial Arena
View Odds Details →

VANDERBILT

COMMODORESVAN

27-9  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
COMMODORES
0%
RAMS --
COMMODORES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Vanderbilt)
RamsVCU (-3.5) 0 CommodoresVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

4.5%

Commodores Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VAN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

VCU By 1-7 points

3.3%

VCU By 8-14 points

0.6%

VAN By 1-7 points

12.2%

VAN By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
35
VCU
52
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
71
VCU
75
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Commodores Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Commodores Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Commodores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Commodores (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 VCU @ VAN 74 - 89
Nov 30, 2022 VAN @ VCU 65 - 70
Nov 17, 2021 VCU @ VAN 48 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.3% more
Vanderbilt: 20.0 vs VCU: 14.8
Steals (L5) +23.4% more
Vanderbilt: 10.5 vs VCU: 8.5
Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Vanderbilt: 48.8% vs VCU: 44.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Vanderbilt: 36.3% vs VCU: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VCU Score 35.0 74
VAN Score 52.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 32.4 50.0 / 24.0
Assists 20.0 / 14.8 18.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.2 / 5.2 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 44.6 53.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 71.8 73.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 40.2 43.0 / 29.0
Steals 10.5 / 8.5 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 11.6 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VCU Advantage
28-8-0 (77.8%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
VAN
27-9-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VCU
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
VAN
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.2
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
VCU
VAN
VCU
ML
69% 25-11
72% 26-10
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
ATS
78% 28-8
81% 29-7
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
TTL
58% 21-15
58% 21-15
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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