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WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

24-12  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Nov 27 • 8:31 PM ET
Imperial Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO STATE

RAMSCSU

21-13  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
SHOCKERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Colorado State)
ShockersWICH (-3.5) 0 RamsCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Shockers Cover

30.9%

Rams Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)

WICH By 1-7 points

18.6%

WICH By 8-14 points

8.0%

CSU By 1-7 points

27.2%

CSU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
WICHITA STATE
74
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
72
WICHITA STATE
78
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 27, 2025 WICH @ CSU 70 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +64.3% more
Colorado State: 16.4 vs Wichita State: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Colorado State: 80.8% vs Wichita State: 72.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Colorado State: 48.2% vs Wichita State: 42.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Colorado State: 36.2% vs Wichita State: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WICH Score 69.0 70
CSU Score 74.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 33.2 40.0 / 20.0
Assists 16.4 / 10.0 21.0 / 12.0
Blocks 1.2 / 3.8 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 42.6 56.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 80.8 / 72.3 55.0 / 60.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 39.7 26.0 / 39.0
Steals 3.9 / 4.9 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 10.3 10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
CSU
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
CSU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.6 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
WICH
CSU
WICH
ML
56% 19-15
61% 22-14
65% 20-11
68% 23-11
ATS
62% 21-13
64% 23-13
65% 20-11
68% 23-11
TTL
56% 19-15
69% 25-11
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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