AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
100%
RAMS
0%
HOKIES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
VT By 1-7 points
3.3%
VT By 8-14 points
0.6%
VCU By 1-7 points
12.2%
VCU By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Virginia Tech
35
VIRGINIA TECH
VCU
52
VCU
Simulated Score
Virginia Tech
66
VIRGINIA TECH
VCU
68
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
VT @ VCU
68 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.9% more
VCU: 4.1
vs
Virginia Tech: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+34.3% more
VCU: 12.1
vs
Virginia Tech: 9.0
Steals (L5)
+11.4% more
VCU: 8.0
vs
Virginia Tech: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
Virginia Tech: 75.5%
vs
VCU: 73.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VT Score
35.0
68
VCU Score
52.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 29.0
52.0 / 44.0
Assists
12.5 / 12.8
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.1 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 41.2
53.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
73.5 / 75.5
68.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 35.0
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.0 / 7.2
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.0
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
VCU
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
VT
VCU
VT
ML
72%
26-10
53%
17-15
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
ATS
81%
29-7
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
TTL
58%
21-15
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0