AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
BUFFALOES
0%
HUSKIES
--
BUFFALOES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COLO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)
WASH By 1-7 points
24.3%
WASH By 8-14 points
13.7%
COLO By 1-7 points
26.2%
COLO By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
38
WASHINGTON
Colorado
39
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Washington
75
WASHINGTON
Colorado
72
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buffaloes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Buffaloes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Huskies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
WASH @ COLO
68 - 81
Jan 24, 2024
COLO @ WASH
98 - 81
Dec 29, 2023
WASH @ COLO
69 - 73
Mar 8, 2023
COLO @ WASH
74 - 68
Jan 19, 2023
WASH @ COLO
75 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.3% more
Colorado: 19.4
vs
Washington: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.6%
Colorado: 51.8%
vs
Washington: 44.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Colorado: 42.7%
vs
Washington: 39.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+25.6% more
Washington: 12.6
vs
Colorado: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
38.0
68
COLO Score
39.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.7 / 39.1
44.0 / 38.0
Assists
19.4 / 13.2
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.2
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 44.2
46.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 73.1
72.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 42.5
42.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.4 / 6.3
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 12.6
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
COLO
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
COLO
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
WASH
COLO
WASH
ML
61%
20-13
45%
15-18
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
ATS
73%
24-9
48%
16-17
69%
22-10
66%
21-11
TTL
45%
15-18
70%
23-10
100%
32-0
100%
32-0