WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
24-11 | Road
63
TCU
HORNED FROGSTCU
23-12 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
HORNED FROGS
0%
BADGERS
--
HORNED FROGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
TCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (TCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TCU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TCU)
WIS By 1-7 points
1.4%
WIS By 8-14 points
0.2%
TCU By 1-7 points
6.8%
TCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wisconsin
36
WISCONSIN
TCU
57
TCU
Simulated Score
Wisconsin
64
WISCONSIN
TCU
68
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Horned Frogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Horned Frogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Horned Frogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 28, 2025
WIS @ TCU
63 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+40.4% more
TCU: 10.7
vs
Wisconsin: 7.7
Turnovers (L5)
+24.4% more
TCU: 11.3
vs
Wisconsin: 9.1
Blocks (L5)
+8.7% more
TCU: 5.0
vs
Wisconsin: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.6% more
Wisconsin: 40.2
vs
TCU: 35.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIS Score
36.0
63
TCU Score
57.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 32.7
57.0 / 25.0
Assists
15.9 / 16.4
15.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.0 / 4.6
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 45.3
47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 75.6
63.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 40.2
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
10.7 / 7.7
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 9.1
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
TCU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
TCU
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
WIS
TCU
WIS
ML
74%
26-9
60%
21-14
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
ATS
74%
26-9
51%
18-17
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
TTL
66%
23-12
57%
20-15
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
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