Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hurricanes @ Hoyas MIA @ GTWN

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

5-2  |  Road

78
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 7:00 PM ET
State Farm Field House
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

16-18  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
HOYAS
0%
HURRICANES --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
124.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
GEORGETOWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Georgetown)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

0.0%

Hoyas Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GTWN -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GTWN)

MIA By 1-7 points

0.0%

MIA By 8-14 points

0.0%

GTWN By 1-7 points

0.0%

GTWN By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
35
MIAMI
89
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
65
MIAMI
78
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoyas Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoyas Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoyas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim Hoyas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 124.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 MIA @ GTWN 78 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.1% more
Georgetown: 5.3 vs Miami: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5) +19.2%
Georgetown: 75.6% vs Miami: 56.5%
Steals (L5) +12.9% more
Miami: 8.8 vs Georgetown: 7.7
Assists (L5) +11.3% more
Miami: 17.7 vs Georgetown: 15.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 35.0 78
GTWN Score 89.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 32.5 27.0 / 60.0
Assists 15.7 / 17.7 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.6 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 48.1 36.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 75.6 / 56.5 67.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 40.2 31.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.7 / 8.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 10.4 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
MIA
GTWN
MIA
ML
67% 22-11
63% 22-13
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
ATS
58% 19-14
63% 22-13
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
TTL
58% 19-14
63% 22-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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