Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Shockers @ Hilltoppers WICH @ WKU

WICHITA STATE

SHOCKERSWICH

24-12  |  Road

70
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Imperial Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

18-14  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
0%
SHOCKERS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
91.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Western Kentucky)
ShockersWICH (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Shockers Cover

2.9%

Hilltoppers Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

WICH By 1-7 points

2.2%

WICH By 8-14 points

0.4%

WKU By 1-7 points

9.3%

WKU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
36
WICHITA STATE
55
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
71
WICHITA STATE
74
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 91.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 WICH @ WKU 70 - 75
Nov 4, 2024 WICH @ WKU 91 - 84
Nov 9, 2023 WKU @ WICH 61 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +59.6% more
Western Kentucky: 8.4 vs Wichita State: 5.3
Turnovers (L5) +51.4% more
Western Kentucky: 14.4 vs Wichita State: 9.5
Assists (L5) +28.3% more
Western Kentucky: 13.7 vs Wichita State: 10.7
Blocks (L5) +22.5% more
Western Kentucky: 4.4 vs Wichita State: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WICH Score 36.0 70
WKU Score 55.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 28.8 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.7 / 10.7 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.6 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 43.0 42.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 68.2 78.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 42.8 / 39.4 36.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.4 / 5.3 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 9.5 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
WKU
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH Advantage
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +3.3
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -1.0
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
WICH
WKU
WICH
ML
56% 18-14
61% 22-14
66% 21-11
68% 23-11
ATS
53% 17-15
64% 23-13
66% 21-11
68% 23-11
TTL
56% 18-14
69% 25-11
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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