AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
FLAMES
0%
EAGLES
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
MIDW By 1-7 points
5.8%
MIDW By 8-14 points
1.4%
LIB By 1-7 points
16.9%
LIB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Midway University
54
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
Liberty
68
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Midway University
62
MIDWAY UNIVERSITY
Liberty
88
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
MIDW @ LIB
57 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.0% more
Liberty: 17.6
vs
Midway University: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+15.8% more
Liberty: 30.5
vs
Midway University: 26.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Liberty: 46.9%
vs
Midway University: 40.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Liberty: 35.4%
vs
Midway University: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIDW Score
54.0
57
LIB Score
68.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 31.5
43.0 / 32.0
Assists
17.6 / 12.1
22.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 40.4
62.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
51.3 / 74.4
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 26.4
32.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.8
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 16.4
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIDW
--
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIDW
--
LIB
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIDW
--
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
MIDW
LIB
MIDW
ML
50%
17-17
75%
3-1
53%
18-16
100%
4-0
ATS
62%
21-13
75%
3-1
53%
18-16
100%
4-0
TTL
41%
14-20
25%
1-3
100%
34-0
100%
4-0