AI Model Win Probability
BATTLING BISHOPS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
BATTLING BISHOPS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
OWU By 1-7 points
0.0%
OWU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OHIO By 1-7 points
0.0%
OHIO By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ohio Wesleyan
59
OHIO WESLEYAN
Ohio
103
OHIO
Simulated Score
Ohio Wesleyan
51
OHIO WESLEYAN
Ohio
92
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
OWU @ OHIO
56 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+67.1% more
Ohio: 2.8
vs
Ohio Wesleyan: 1.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+40.5%
Ohio: 74.1%
vs
Ohio Wesleyan: 33.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+38.4% more
Ohio: 34.0
vs
Ohio Wesleyan: 24.6
Assists (L5)
+14.4% more
Ohio: 13.1
vs
Ohio Wesleyan: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OWU Score
59.0
56
OHIO Score
103.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 27.0
25.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.1 / 11.4
28.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.7
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 35.1
58.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
74.1 / 33.7
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 24.6
44.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.7
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 16.4
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OWU
--
OHIO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OWU
--
OHIO
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
OWU
--
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
OWU
OHIO
OWU
ML
65%
20-11
100%
2-0
63%
19-11
100%
2-0
ATS
68%
21-10
100%
2-0
63%
19-11
100%
2-0
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
1-1
100%
30-0
100%
2-0