STANTON
ELKSSTN
0-0 | Road
70
UC RIVERSIDE
HIGHLANDERSUCR
6-6 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
ELKS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
ELKS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UC RIVERSIDE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UC Riverside)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCR)
STN By 1-7 points
24.3%
STN By 8-14 points
13.7%
UCR By 1-7 points
26.2%
UCR By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Stanton
38
STANTON
UC Riverside
39
UC RIVERSIDE
Simulated Score
Stanton
58
STANTON
UC Riverside
82
UC RIVERSIDE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
STN @ UCR
70 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+380.0% more
UC Riverside: 3.8
vs
Stanton: 0.0
Assists (L5)
+53.3% more
UC Riverside: 10.7
vs
Stanton: 7.0
Rebounding (L5)
+20.7% more
UC Riverside: 32.6
vs
Stanton: 27.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
UC Riverside: 29.5%
vs
Stanton: 24.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STN Score
38.0
70
UCR Score
39.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 24.0
50.0 / 44.0
Assists
10.7 / 7.0
17.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.8 / 0.0
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 39.0
52.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
53.3 / 73.0
71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 27.0
43.0 / 21.0
Steals
4.3 / 10.0
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 26.0
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STN
--
UCR
Advantage
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STN
--
UCR
Advantage
14-14-2
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STN
--
UCR
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCR
STN
UCR
STN
ML
66%
21-11
100%
2-0
75%
24-8
100%
2-0
ATS
59%
19-13
100%
2-0
75%
24-8
100%
2-0
TTL
66%
21-11
50%
1-1
100%
32-0
100%
2-0
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