AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
76ERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
PHI By 1-7 points
19.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.4%
NY By 1-7 points
27.3%
NY By 8-14 points
22.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
107.19
PHILADELPHIA
New York
111.89
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
105
PHILADELPHIA
New York
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.7
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026
NY @ PHI
138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.2% more
New York: 8.8
vs
Philadelphia: 7.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
New York: 47.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 42.5%
Blocks (L5)
+21.5% more
Philadelphia: 5.9
vs
New York: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+11.8% more
Philadelphia: 23.2
vs
New York: 20.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
107.2
84
NY Score
111.9
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 30.7
20.5 / 8.6
Assists
20.5 / 23.2
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.6 / 5.9
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 42.5
38.5 / 34.6
Free Throw %
74.1 / 78.0
65.6 / 84.4
Rebounding
42.5 / 46.2
58.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.5
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 15.0
17.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61%
114-72
63%
69-40
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
ATS
67%
124-62
65%
71-38
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
TTL
72%
133-53
55%
60-49
100%
102-0
100%
93-0