Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ 76ers NY @ PHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

1-0  |  Road

113
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 11:00 AM ET
Etihad Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

0-1  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
KNICKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

65.4%

76ers Cover

34.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.4%

NY By 8-14 points

21.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

20.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
110.43
NEW YORK
106.47
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
105
NEW YORK
108
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 216.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.5% more
New York: 10.2 vs Philadelphia: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
New York: 28.2% vs Philadelphia: 23.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
New York: 44.4% vs Philadelphia: 39.9%
Blocks (L5) +49.2% more
Philadelphia: 5.6 vs New York: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 110.4 113
PHI Score 106.5 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.3 / 28.2 36.4 / 33.3
Assists 21.1 / 20.0 22.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.8 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 39.9 / 44.4 44.3 / 44.7
Free Throw % 80.2 / 71.3 71.0 / 75.8
Rebounding 46.2 / 47.6 41.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.7 / 10.2 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.7 / 16.3 20.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63% 69-40
61% 114-72
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 71-38
67% 124-62
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 60-49
72% 133-53
100% 93-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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