Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Knicks WSH @ NY

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

0-1  |  Road

120
FINAL
Mon, Oct 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

3-0  |  Home

103
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
WIZARDS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (New York)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

9.7%

Knicks Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

WSH By 1-7 points

6.9%

WSH By 8-14 points

1.7%

NY By 1-7 points

18.6%

NY By 8-14 points

26.9%

AI Model Projected Score
99.35
WASHINGTON
112.33
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
WASHINGTON
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 211.7
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 WSH @ NY 113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026 NY @ WSH 132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025 WSH @ NY 102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025 WSH @ NY 120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025 WSH @ NY 103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +91.7% more
New York: 10.4 vs Washington: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +27.3% more
Washington: 6.3 vs New York: 4.6
Assists (L5) +14.0% more
Washington: 24.3 vs New York: 20.9
Turnovers (L5) +8.4% more
Washington: 15.7 vs New York: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 99.4 120
NY Score 112.3 103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 32.1 31.0 / 38.9
Assists 20.9 / 24.3 24.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.6 / 6.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 42.5 44.4 / 53.7
Free Throw % 73.5 / 75.6 69.2 / 60.0
Rebounding 49.1 / 49.4 34.0 / 46.0
Steals 10.4 / 5.4 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 15.7 19.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
WSH
NY
WSH
ML
61% 114-72
70% 112-49
56% 57-45
47% 39-44
ATS
67% 124-62
69% 111-49-1
56% 57-45
47% 39-44
TTL
72% 133-53
74% 119-41-1
100% 102-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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