PERU STATE
BOBCATSPSC
0-0 | Road
46
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
3-2 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
100%
JACKRABBITS
0%
BOBCATS
--
JACKRABBITS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (South Dakota State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDST -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)
PSC By 1-7 points
1.4%
PSC By 8-14 points
0.2%
SDST By 1-7 points
6.8%
SDST By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Peru State
49
PERU STATE
South Dakota State
70
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
Peru State
58
PERU STATE
South Dakota State
102
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jackrabbits
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jackrabbits
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jackrabbits (+157.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Jackrabbits (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 17, 2025
PSC @ SDST
46 - 94
Nov 7, 2019
PSC @ SDST
58 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+44.4% more
South Dakota State: 37.2
vs
Peru State: 25.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.6%
South Dakota State: 64.9%
vs
Peru State: 57.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
South Dakota State: 43.6%
vs
Peru State: 39.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+32.8% more
Peru State: 19.5
vs
South Dakota State: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PSC Score
49.0
46
SDST Score
70.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 40.0
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
10.5 / 11.1
23.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.5 / 2.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 39.4
50.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
64.9 / 57.4
81.0 / 25.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 25.7
52.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.8 / 6.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 19.5
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PSC
--
SDST
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PSC
--
SDST
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PSC
--
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
PSC
SDST
PSC
ML
75%
24-8
100%
1-0
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
ATS
78%
25-7
100%
1-0
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
TTL
53%
17-15
100%
1-0
100%
32-0
100%
1-0
Contextual Game News
