Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Catamounts UNCA @ WCU

UNC ASHEVILLE

BULLDOGSUNCA

2-3  |  Road

73
FINAL
Wed, Nov 19 • 7:50 PM ET
Ramsey Center
View Odds Details →

WESTERN CAROLINA

CATAMOUNTSWCU

3-2  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
CATAMOUNTS
0%
BULLDOGS --
CATAMOUNTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Western Carolina)
BulldogsUNCA (-3.5) 0 CatamountsWCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

18.4%

Catamounts Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WCU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)

UNCA By 1-7 points

12.2%

UNCA By 8-14 points

4.0%

WCU By 1-7 points

24.3%

WCU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
76
UNC ASHEVILLE
85
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
69
UNC ASHEVILLE
72
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Catamounts Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Catamounts Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Catamounts (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Catamounts (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 19, 2025 UNCA @ WCU 73 - 80
Dec 14, 2024 WCU @ UNCA 61 - 78
Dec 9, 2023 UNCA @ WCU 63 - 78
Nov 26, 2022 WCU @ UNCA 61 - 73
Dec 11, 2021 UNCA @ WCU 73 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Western Carolina: 15.6 vs UNC Asheville: 13.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Western Carolina: 14.8 vs UNC Asheville: 12.9
Rebounding (L5) +13.6% more
Western Carolina: 40.6 vs UNC Asheville: 35.7
Blocks (L5) +19.9% more
UNC Asheville: 3.4 vs Western Carolina: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCA Score 76.0 73
WCU Score 85.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 32.6 26.0 / 50.0
Assists 15.6 / 13.4 7.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.7 / 3.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 48.3 42.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 73.9 79.0 / 52.0
Rebounding 40.6 / 35.7 43.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.3 / 8.2 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 12.9 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
11%MONEY89%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
WCU Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCA Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
WCU
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: -2.8
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
UNCA
WCU
UNCA
ML
63% 19-11
53% 16-14
76% 22-7
63% 19-11
ATS
73% 22-8
57% 17-13
77% 23-7
63% 19-11
TTL
67% 20-10
60% 18-12
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
si 1 week, 3 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
si 2 weeks, 2 days ago
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
headtopics 3 weeks ago
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…
si 1 month, 1 week ago