Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cornhuskers @ Lobos NEB @ UNM

NEBRASKA

CORNHUSKERSNEB

5-0  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 7:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Center
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NEW MEXICO

LOBOSUNM

3-2  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
📊
LOBOS
0%
CORNHUSKERS --
LOBOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW MEXICO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Mexico)
CornhuskersNEB (-3.5) 0 LobosUNM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cornhuskers Cover

46.0%

Lobos Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNM)

NEB By 1-7 points

24.3%

NEB By 8-14 points

13.7%

UNM By 1-7 points

26.2%

UNM By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
NEBRASKA
39
NEW MEXICO
Simulated Score
72
NEBRASKA
76
NEW MEXICO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lobos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lobos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lobos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Lobos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 NEB @ UNM 84 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +28.7% more
New Mexico: 10.7 vs Nebraska: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +26.4% more
New Mexico: 2.7 vs Nebraska: 2.2
Assists (L5) +39.6% more
Nebraska: 19.4 vs New Mexico: 11.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.1%
Nebraska: 41.7% vs New Mexico: 29.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NEB Score 38.0 84
UNM Score 39.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.7 / 41.7 30.0 / 37.0
Assists 11.7 / 19.4 18.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.2 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 50.0 39.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 74.8 64.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 36.5 36.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.2 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 8.3 16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB Advantage
28-7-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
UNM
26-11-0 (70.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB Advantage
19-15-1 (55.9%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +2.6
UNM
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -6.7
UNM
23-12-0
O: 65.7% / U: 34.3% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNM
NEB
UNM
NEB
ML
57% 21-16
51% 18-17
74% 25-9
62% 21-13
ATS
57% 21-16
54% 19-16
74% 25-9
62% 21-13
TTL
41% 15-22
63% 22-13
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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