Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Dukes NE @ DUQ

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

3-3  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 4:00 PM ET
LeBron James Arena
View Odds Details →

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

4-2  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
DUKES
0%
HUSKIES --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Duquesne)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 DukesDUQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

18.4%

Dukes Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)

NE By 1-7 points

12.2%

NE By 8-14 points

4.0%

DUQ By 1-7 points

24.3%

DUQ By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTHEASTERN
75
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
65
NORTHEASTERN
71
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dukes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dukes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 NE @ DUQ 93 - 86
Nov 19, 2021 NE @ DUQ 71 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +43.4% more
Duquesne: 16.9 vs Northeastern: 11.8
Turnovers (L5) +29.4% more
Duquesne: 15.5 vs Northeastern: 12.0
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Duquesne: 36.7 vs Northeastern: 33.3
Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Duquesne: 50.2% vs Northeastern: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 66.0 93
DUQ Score 75.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 26.8 38.0 / 26.0
Assists 16.9 / 11.8 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.7 1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 41.7 54.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 69.3 / 66.7 68.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 33.3 27.0 / 36.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.4 15.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 12.0 19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
DUQ Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
DUQ Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
NE
DUQ
NE
ML
53% 17-15
70% 21-9
58% 18-13
60% 18-12
ATS
69% 22-10
63% 19-11
58% 18-13
60% 18-12
TTL
50% 16-16
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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