Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Bears CSUF @ UNCO

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

2-5  |  Road

93
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 2:00 PM ET
Chiles Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

BEARSUNCO

5-1  |  Home

97
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
TITANS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Northern Colorado)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 BearsUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

0.0%

Bears Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCO -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)

CSUF By 1-7 points

0.0%

CSUF By 8-14 points

0.0%

UNCO By 1-7 points

0.0%

UNCO By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
CAL STATE FULLERTON
110
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
73
CAL STATE FULLERTON
76
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 CSUF @ UNCO 93 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.3% more
Northern Colorado: 3.3 vs Cal State Fullerton: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +20.1% more
Northern Colorado: 14.0 vs Cal State Fullerton: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5) +9.3%
Northern Colorado: 81.0% vs Cal State Fullerton: 71.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Northern Colorado: 47.7% vs Cal State Fullerton: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 68.0 93
UNCO Score 110.0 97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 30.4 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 17.9 / 17.1 17.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.3 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 43.9 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 81.0 / 71.7 85.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 35.6 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.2 1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 11.6 9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
UNCO Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
UNCO
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
UNCO
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
CSUF
UNCO
CSUF
ML
50% 16-16
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
ATS
53% 17-15
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
76% 26-8
TTL
50% 16-16
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Riley Minix's Unconventional Path from NAIA to NBA Two-Way Contr…
headtopics 2 weeks ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Baylor Position-by-Position Preview: Can the Bears Avenge Auburn…
si 1 month ago
Tommy John, Legendary Pitcher and Namesake of Revolutionary Elbo…
westhawaiitoday 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Baylor's Caden Powell Granted Extra Year of Eligibility, Boostin…
si 2 months ago