Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Hawks RMU @ MONM

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

3-3  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 3:00 PM ET
OceanFirst Bank Center
View Odds Details →

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

2-3  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
HAWKS
0%
COLONIALS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
90.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Monmouth)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 HawksMONM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

2.3%

Hawks Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONM -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)

RMU By 1-7 points

1.7%

RMU By 8-14 points

0.3%

MONM By 1-7 points

8.0%

MONM By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
35
ROBERT MORRIS
55
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
68
ROBERT MORRIS
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 90.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 RMU @ MONM 70 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +125.6% more
Monmouth: 6.6 vs Robert Morris: 2.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.0%
Monmouth: 36.0% vs Robert Morris: 26.9%
Assists (L5) +28.5% more
Robert Morris: 17.3 vs Monmouth: 12.4
Rebounding (L5) +11.2% more
Robert Morris: 41.2 vs Monmouth: 36.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 35.0 70
MONM Score 55.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 26.9 25.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.4 / 17.3 8.0 / 10.0
Blocks 6.6 / 2.9 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 44.3 38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 77.9 77.0 / 25.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 41.2 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.6 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
MONM
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
MONM
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
RMU
MONM
RMU
ML
62% 21-13
36% 12-21
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
ATS
62% 21-13
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
TTL
59% 20-14
55% 18-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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