Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Grizzlies @ Cardinals OAK @ LAM

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

2-5  |  Road

83
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 4:00 PM ET
Dahlberg Arena
View Odds Details →

LAMAR

CARDINALSLAM

3-2  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
102.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
LAMAR
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Lamar)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

0.1%

Cardinals Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAM -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAM)

OAK By 1-7 points

0.1%

OAK By 8-14 points

0.0%

LAM By 1-7 points

1.1%

LAM By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
36
OAKLAND
66
LAMAR
Simulated Score
65
OAKLAND
78
LAMAR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 102.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 OAK @ LAM 83 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +118.9% more
Lamar: 5.3 vs Oakland: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +29.0% more
Lamar: 42.0 vs Oakland: 32.6
Turnovers (L5) +15.6% more
Lamar: 11.5 vs Oakland: 9.9
Steals (L5) +11.5% more
Lamar: 8.3 vs Oakland: 7.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 36.0 83
LAM Score 66.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 37.1 28.0 / 18.0
Assists 12.8 / 16.2 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.4 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 47.9 40.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 62.1 / 74.9 69.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 42.0 / 32.6 39.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.5 2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 9.9 16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
LAM
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
LAM
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAM
OAK
LAM
OAK
ML
55% 16-13
62% 20-12
59% 17-12
59% 19-13
ATS
52% 15-14
50% 16-16
60% 18-12
59% 19-13
TTL
72% 21-8
62% 20-12
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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