GEORGE MASON
PATRIOTSGMU
6-0 | Road
92
OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
1-5 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
PATRIOTS
100%
BOBCATS
0%
PATRIOTS
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
95.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
GMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
GMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
OHIO By 1-7 points
0.8%
OHIO By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
George Mason
32
GEORGE MASON
Ohio
63
OHIO
Simulated Score
George Mason
67
GEORGE MASON
Ohio
71
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 95.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
GMU @ OHIO
92 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.0% more
George Mason: 5.2
vs
Ohio: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+44.2% more
George Mason: 8.4
vs
Ohio: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+21.3% more
George Mason: 13.9
vs
Ohio: 10.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+19.7%
George Mason: 43.2%
vs
Ohio: 23.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GMU Score
32.0
92
OHIO Score
63.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.5 / 43.2
31.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.3 / 12.6
12.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.1 / 5.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 49.7
41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 73.4
65.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 35.2
36.0 / 39.0
Steals
4.7 / 8.4
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 13.9
12.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GMU
Advantage
23-10-0
(69.7%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GMU
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -1.2
OHIO
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
GMU
OHIO
GMU
ML
65%
20-11
55%
18-15
63%
19-11
73%
24-9
ATS
68%
21-10
55%
18-15
63%
19-11
73%
24-9
TTL
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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