AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FGCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)
ORU By 1-7 points
24.3%
ORU By 8-14 points
13.7%
FGCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
FGCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Oral Roberts
80
ORAL ROBERTS
Florida Gulf Coast
81
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
Oral Roberts
72
ORAL ROBERTS
Florida Gulf Coast
75
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
ORU @ FGCU
88 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.6% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 16.0
vs
Oral Roberts: 12.2
Blocks (L5)
+18.9% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 4.5
vs
Oral Roberts: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+16.3% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 43.9
vs
Oral Roberts: 37.7
Steals (L5)
+8.1% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 6.8
vs
Oral Roberts: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORU Score
80.0
88
FGCU Score
81.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 31.8
35.0 / 46.0
Assists
16.0 / 12.2
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 41.5
56.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 76.8
71.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 37.7
29.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.8 / 6.3
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 15.7
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORU
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
FGCU
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORU
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: -1.1
FGCU
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.7
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
ORU
FGCU
ORU
ML
58%
19-14
85%
28-5
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
ATS
61%
20-13
82%
27-6
67%
22-11
73%
24-9
TTL
61%
20-13
61%
20-13
100%
33-0
100%
33-0